Providing some excellent insight on the runners in the race is guest blogger Stephen Wong. Stephen has a master's degree in investment management and also writes for www.fasttrack.hk, a racing page covering everything from horses to fashion to drama in the event. He has a very good grasp on international racing and will give us a strong opinion on each of the runners in this race.
Emirates
Melbourne Cup 3200m
Group
1. Apprentices cannot claim
No Horse (Barrier) Jockey Trainer Weight Price
1 Dunaden
(1) J Spencer M
Delzangles 58.5 41.00
2 Green
Moon (10) B Prebble R
Hickmott 57.5 35.00
3 Red
Cadeaux (23) G Mosse E
Dunlop 56.5 51.00
4 Sea
Moon (7) S Arnold R
Hickmott 56.5 16.00
5 Brown
Panther (6) R Kingscote T
Dascombe 55 18.00
6 Fiorente
(5) D Oliver Ms
G Waterhouse 55 7.00
7 Foreteller
(15) C Newitt C
J Waller 55 26.00
8 Dandino
(4) R Moore M
Botti 54.5 11.00
9 Ethiopia
(14) R McLeod P
G Carey 54.5 71.00
10 Fawkner (8) N
Hall R Hickmott 54.5 16.00
11 Mourayan (19) B Avdulla R Hickmott 54.5 126.00
12 Seville (9) H
Bowman R Hickmott 54.5 17.00
13 Super Cool (13) C Brown M Kavanagh 54.5 31.00
14
Masked Marvel (2) M Rodd R
Hickmott 54 35.00
15 Mount Athos (22) C Williams L M Cumani 54 10.00
16 Royal Empire (11) K McEvoy Saeed Bin Suroor 54 21.00
17 Voleuse De Couers (21) J McDonald M D Moroney 54 16.00
18 Hawkspur (18) J Cassidy C
J Waller 53.5 14.00
19 Simenon (12) R Hughes W P Mullins 53.5 17.00
20
Ibicenco (17) L Nolen P G Moody 53 51.00
21 Verema (3) C
Lemaire A De Royer-Dupre 53 15.00
22 Dear Demi (16) C Munce C
E Connors 51 17.00
23 Tres Blue (20) T Berry Ms
G Waterhouse 51 23.00
24 Ruscello (24) (a)C Schofield E
Walker 50 61.00
Odds
courtesy TAB
Comments
by Stephen Wong (Twitter: @SW064351)
1 Dunaden: Best runs
have been in Australia, winning three of four starts. Weight is against him but
will conserve ground with the gun draw and be running on late. Must be
respected.
2 Green Moon: Lead-up
form this campaign has been suspect and must carry 3kg additional. Needs to
lift.
3 Red Cadeaux:
Veteran gelding who went down by the slimmest of margins two years ago. Carries
top weight and wide draw only makes task tougher.
4 Sea Moon: Runs of
late have been progressively better. Can lift Cup if he can reproduce Hardwicke
form.
5 Brown Panther:
British galloper who has won at the Group 2 level over this distance. Will be
competitive the but the pace could prove his undoing.
6 Fiorente: Hasn't
set a foot wrong this preparation and showed he can be effective at the sharper
trips. Massive hope.
7 Foreteller:
Distance is a query and can't have at this stage.
8 Dandino: Hit the
line strongly in Caulfield Cup and will get a solidly run race to suit. Was
unplaced over this distance two years ago but should be included in the
exotics.
9 Ethiopia: Form this
term has been inconsistent despite showing improvement in Lexus. Looking
elsewhere.
10 Fawkner: Gets relief in the weights despite winning
Caulfield Cup in dominant fashion. Keep safe.
11 Mourayan: Run in Mackinnon on Saturday was disappointing
and looks well held.
12 Seville: Scored in Metropolitan but the form of beaten
runners since has collapsed. Under the odds.
13 Super Cool: Showed plenty of promise as a three-year-old
but pedigree suggests trip will prove too far.
14 Masked Marvel: Finished second-last in Cox Plate after
firing up early. Will likely have to commit early from the low draw. Pass.
15 Mount Athos: Got into the clear when it was all too late
last year. Must overcome a wide draw but will be flying late. Go close.
16 Royal Empire: Consistent galloper who has yet to run a
poor race this preparation but is unproven this company. Hard to have.
17 Voleuse De Coeurs: Thrashed rivals in Irish St Leger
while toting 61kg. Has proven form over trip and must be respected.
18 Hawkspur: Forgive Caulfield Cup run as he fell victim to
a troubled trip. Still needs to find a few lengths to compete with these.
19 Simenon: Former hurdler who kept grinding to the line in
Herbert Power. Will strip fitter and is one of the leading chances.
20 Ibicenco: Won Geelong Cup but this is a different kettle
of fish. Happy to let him go.
21 Verema: Has class on her side but was comfortably held by
Cavalryman in Dubai Gold Cup. Place claims look best.
22 Dear Demi: Brilliant run to flash home for third in
Mackinnon on Saturday. Place best.
23 Tres Blue: Gets in carrying postage stamp weight and is
worth some thought.
24 Ruscello: Backs-up on three days rest and is entered here
as an afterthought. Drawn the carpark and will be pestered on the lead. Sure to
find these too strong.
Stephen's Selections:
6 Fiorente
4 Sea Moon
19
Simenon
15
Mount Athos
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